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Gingrich has a big lead in NM

Newt Gingrich

Newt Gingrich has a big lead in New Mexico in the Republican presidential primary, a new poll indicates.

The survey from the left-leaning group Public Policy Polling found Gingrich leading with the support of 39 percent of Republican primary voters to Mitt Romney’s 14 percent, Gary Johnson’s 11 percent, 8 percent each for Ron Paul and Rick Perry, 6 percent for Michele Bachmann, 3 percent for Rick Santorum, and 2 percent for Jon Huntsman.

The survey of 300 GOP primary voters was conducted between Saturday and Monday and has a margin of error of plus or minus 5.7 percent.

You can read about the poll here and view the full results here.

More on the survey, from Public Policy Polling:

“Whether they’re sustainable or not Gingrich’s numbers in New Mexico are impressive. He has a 65/25 favorability rating and his support is up more than six fold from when we polled the state in late June and found him at just 6%. He is particularly dominant with the Tea Party vote, getting 55% with that group while no one else is even in double digits. But he’s doing very well with non-Tea Party Republicans as well, holding a 30-19 advantage over Romney with that group.”

But there’s this:

“And yet this poll provides hope for Romney should Gingrich eventually – some might argue inevitably – collapse. He’s the second choice of 23% of Gingrich voters compared to 16% for Perry and 11% for Bachmann with no one else in double digits. This is what we’re finding on poll after poll – Romney is in a clear second place and he’s also the second choice of Gingrich voters, so should Newt fall apart, Mitt goes back to being the front runner – and at the one time where it really matters.”

New Mexico’s GOP presidential contest isn’t historically held until June, and there’s a good chance the primary race will be over long before that.

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14 comments so far. Scroll down to submit your own comment.

  1. L.E. Liesner, that was hardly a defense of Newt.  Newt Gingrich has flip flopped on as many issues as Mitt Romney.  What is causing these flip flops is that the Republican party keeps sliding farther and farther into extremism and the establishment politicians such as Newt and Mitt can’t keep abreast of it.  The fact that the Republican party has become so dysfunctional has allowed a corporate Obama to rule as he pleases with no regard to the people’s concerns. 
    It is amazing to me that the fact the Mitt is a Morman of integrity in good standing is a detriment to his candidacy where as, a carpet bagging opportunist Catholic not in good standing somehow seems better.
    All I have to say about the now 67 year old repentant Newt Gingrich is an old NM dicho.  You give the meat to Satan and throw the bones to God.    

  2. Seems like a lot of people here do not have a high regard for Newt. Do you want to bet that they are the same ones that voted for (Democratic Socialist Party) member Ben Ray Lujan and (Pelosi’s lapdog) Martin Heinrich.  Lets take a look at the New Mexico Legislature next, 80 years of Democratic control has given us nothing but corruption and a State 50 years behind the rest of the country except California and New York. It’s time to dump these liberal socialist and move into the real world.

  3. Gary Johnson is by far the best candidate for President the Republicans have to offer. Perhaps he is too pure, honest and self made for them.

    I truly believe when Rubio delivers Florida, smiles at the ladies in the Midwest and costs the Democrats a fortune to hold on to California and Nevada the race will be on. Vice Presidential candidates deliver victories, look at another Johnson the one with Kennedy and quite frankly peer closely at Obama-Biden. (think Pennsylvania) The facts lie in the vote totals. Gary Johnson and Rubio would leave the Democrats in a complete mess.

  4. You are probably correct stever, and Johnson’s odd logic also defies rationality.  If he really thinks he can win 20% +- of the vote here in NM as a libertarian, what good is he really doing, other than handing the state’s electoral votes to Obama.  Is that what he craves by acting the way he is here?  I don’t get his motives.

  5. If you want Obama to be re-elected, you might not want to get on the bash Newt bandwagon just yet.  Wait until he gets the nomination.  Shhhhh….

  6. Qui Tam:
     
    For that matter, as the Secretary of State has so handily proven, the bizarre paranoid right-wing conspiracy theory that elections are being stolen by illegal immigrants voting in droves (already a bizarre fantasy, since we have enough trouble getting legitimate voters to show up) is, in fact, false.

  7. Qui Tam:
     
    Rubio would actually guarantee a Republican loss; polling shows that his addition to the GOP ticket makes no difference for the choices of the majority of Hispanic voters, and for the majority of the remainder, his inclusion actually makes it less likely that they’ll vote for the Republicans.  Quite frankly, though, both parties need to stop treating Hispanics as a single uniform culture, though the GOP’s guilt in this is somewhat greater; after all, if they honestly think that other Hispanics will vote for them because they put a Cuban on the ticket, then they really have no understanding of Hispanic voters.
     
    Historically, the Vice Presidential nominee doesn’t gain you any votes, but – as John McCain so efficiently demonstrated – the wrong nominee can lose votes for you, and Mark Rubio is absolutely the wrong nominee for the Republican Party.

  8. Dr J – don’t be so sure of that! After the Republicans enlist Rubio of Florida as Vice President, the Nation will see a racially motivated shift of voters. And after the election it would be interesting to learn how many illegal aliens voted and how many used their New Mexico driver’s license in other parts of the country in the commission of their vote…but that will never happen for in some parts of the Nation illegal isn’t illegal.

  9. The lunacy of the Right has allowed Obama and his corporate pay-masters to rule with impunity without the least regard to the desires, needs and civil rights of the people.

  10. Newt is just typical of the dysfunctional and incompetent people the Repubs have arrayed against Obama this coming election.  None of them will beat Obama, he will have a cake-walk to his second term.  An amazing opportunity to remove him and right our country will be wasted due to lack of anybody half way competent and qualified.

  11. I think it is funny that the People want Newt, but the political establishment does not.  The National Review is going to devote an entire issue to why Newt is not the man for the Republican Party.  Not just and editorial or two, BUT THE ENTIRE ISSUE.   

    People complain about Democrat Machine politics, look at the Republican Machine going full blast to try and chop block the Peoples Choice.  
     

  12. I’d cheer if I weren’t vomiting. Why should NM Republicans be smarter than any others? Or have a memory. Or care about his ethics, adultery, ad nauseum. The electable guy is a distant 2nd place and the guy no one outside of NM has heard of is next. No surprise the most reasonable one is dead last. Vomiting again. peace, mjh

  13. I’m glad I have hung on to my “No Newt is Good Newt” T-shirt from the ’90′s, seems like I will have occasion to wear it.  Design courtesy of Susan Terry of Reno.

  14. The guy whose head was literally too big for a football helmet in high school still has a problem with an outsized head or ego. In no way is he fit for the office of the president. It seems the GOP is floundering in a soup of unfit candidates.

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