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Why Gary Johnson hasn’t a chance

By | 5/25/11, 11:44 pm | Commentary

Gary Johnson

Former N.M. Gov. Gary Johnson is a decent human being. He is philosophically sound, pleasant and sincere. A genuinely likable guy. Which is why he hasn’t a snowball’s chance in hell to win the Republican presidential nomination in 2012.

The chances of Johnson even being a contender for the nomination of the Republican Party is zero. And if he got it, the chances of his being elected are less than zero – c’mon, this is the same electorate that put in Obama.

CUT TO: an opium den dream sequence. Johnson is actually elected through some Olympian intervention, but the sober fact is, real change would be impossible. The NSA, the CIA, the FBI, the DOD, and the rest of them are now an empire within an empire. If Johnson ever tried to make serious changes I suspect he’d get a very serious talking-to, much more scary than a small-town mayor might get from the mob. The situation is beyond redemption in my view.

But wait, what about the Tea Party?

There’s the Tea Party. The Libertarian Party. Independents. An anti-government sentiment on broil, even a few genuinely free-market Republicans out there – all constituencies that might vote for Gary Johnson. There are a lot of disillusioned people out there, a good number of whom might vote for an honest man, even if they don’t agree with him about everything.

Okay, maybe he has a chance? Naw.

To start with, about half the population is on the dole – 45 million are on food stamps alone. Worse yet are all the corporate welfare recipients and high-finance fat cats in bed with the government. There are just too many people whose rice bowls would be broken for Johnson to get elected. Organized labor would never stand for him, and much of corporate America would actually be on their side.

Thomas Molitor

Furthermore, there’s no constituency that would really be for him. The Libertarian Party is a completely ineffectual non-entity, and unworthy of support, as it proved by nominating the Congressman Bob Barr for its last candidate. The Tea Party has no central philosophy. Enough said.

Can Johnson shift the debate at least?

Sure, he might change the nature of the debate a bit, and that would be a good thing. It would offer him an ideological pulpit for educating the populace beyond the two-party duopoly, which might be a noble reason for Gary to give it a go.

But none of that debate will change the way the vast majority of either the electorate or the politicians think or vote. The fact is that politicians all know they won’t get re-elected if they force America to bite the rusty bullet it must if America is to begin a real recovery.

In other words, what needs to be done is a large-scale firing of government employees, the abolition of most agencies, reinstitution of a sound currency, a default on many or most government obligations, radical cuts in spending, and the disbanding of the military-industrial complex. Yeah, right. Anybody who did those things would be branded a traitor, or worse.

So the government will continue kicking the can down the road. A controlled demolition of today’s totally corrupt system is the best thing that could happen. Instead we’ll get an uncontrolled collapse later.


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The unavoidable train wreck

There is no way to avert the train wreck now. The infinite demand for government services from the 50 percent of the population who pay about 4 percent of the total tax revenues of the United States guarantees it – that’s the point of no return. Not to mention the abject failure of the government education system. Things won’t get better until the present system implodes.

In that regard, I’m glad Johnson is running because his campaign will almost certainly underscore Ron Paul’s principles, which he has been out on the road singing for over 20 years. Both Johnson and Paul speak on principle, and on things that matter. The fact that neither can win is actually a good thing. I pity the poor fool who’s in office as we come out of the eye of the hurricane we’re in now. Whoever is in office will be blamed, even though the collapse will be the consequence of decades of mismanagement.

But getting the ideas out into TV-land is a good thing. Come the crunch, the more people who’ve heard of Johnson’s and Paul’s free-market ideas, the better the odds of things looking up after the crash.

I said there’s no way Johnson will win or prevent the impending economic collapse America is slipping into – but I didn’t say his campaign wouldn’t do any good.

I wish him the greatest success.

Molitor is a regular columnist for this site. You can reach him at tgmolitor@comcast.net.

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Thomas Molitor15:31 May 28, 2011

Here’s a link to a national article that claims that Gary Johnson is more Libertarian than Ron Paul. Interestingly, scroll down and read the comments. Unsurprisingly, a lot comments have to do with “no one knows Johnson outside of New Mexico.” This is why I would think it a good strategy for Gary to think about running for the U.S. Senate. We all love and adore New Mexico and are in full possession of its enchantments to live here, but the rest of the country think New Mexico is another country. In fact, recently, I was trying to order some supplies for my business from a New York supplier and when I said I was located in New Mexico he replied, “We don’t export.”

IcarusPhoenix01:06 May 28, 2011

Michael: You need to get your head out of a Thesaurus and into reading books in which ideas and reason prevail over scholarly adjectives. It might have worked for you to gas-bag your fellow campus adjuncts in order to gain a career in academia but it doesn’t hold water for me.

Translation: Dictionaries and a well-reasoned arguments take effort. It’s far easier to spout half-baked conspiracy theories and launch personal attacks while feigning martyrdom. What more were we to expect from a man who uses the phrase “ad hominem” daily and has yet to actually use it correctly? Come to think of it, what more could we expect from a man who once claimed to have learned more from the internet than he ever did from qualified educators? It does explain why he spouts semi-cognoscente internet rumors and pretends that his word is the height of political discourse. Have we really fallen so far that we have to pretend that Mr. Molitor and his ilk are the best the right can offer? I truly hope for the sake of political balance that is not the case.

Thomas Molitor19:06 May 27, 2011

@Michael Hays:

“You thus provide a potential infinite series of tendentious documents which are no more supported by evidence and logic than your comments and columns. Yours is the kind of mentation that simply wants confirmation of convictions free of critical analysis and evaluation.”

“Tendentious” and ” mentation.”

Michael: You need to get your head out of a Thesaurus and into reading books in which ideas and reason prevail over scholarly adjectives. It might have worked for you to gas-bag your fellow campus adjuncts in order to gain a career in academia but it doesn’t hold water for me.

IcarusPhoenix14:29 May 27, 2011

Mr. Gessing, I don’t think there are enough states with open primaries at the Presidential level for either of them to have a shot by those means.

pgessing11:19 May 27, 2011

Tom, I think you have a point when you call Clinton a socialist at least in some of his intentions, but I think we need to be fair and point out that in practice, he did a better job of limiting the size and scope of the federal government than any president since Eisenhower. That doesn’t mean that Clinton didn’t believe that he and the federal government didn’t “own” our money and have the ability to spend it before we got a hold of it, but that is something that all US presidents since the income tax came about have believed.

Gary Johnson would make a great President and he’d make a great US Senator as well. To win the nomination, Johnson and Ron Paul will both need significant support from Democrats and independents willing to vote for a Republican in a primary.

Thomas Molitor10:52 May 27, 2011

@Hemingway
Sorry the thread went the way of ad hominems and political affiliation definitions – but back to Johnson for a moment, I wonder if he has no interest in running for the Senate? I think he would breeze his way through the R primary and have an excellent chance to beat Heinrich.

Hemingway09:59 May 27, 2011

Gary Johnson can win the Senate race in New Mexico!

Mick08:35 May 27, 2011

More propaganda Mr. Molitor!

Your second link takes us to a web page that is masquerading as the Clinton Library. That is not the Clinton Library. Of course, you knew that.

For me, the argument about whether or not President Clinton is or was a socialist is just a side show. I don’t think he is. Most economists (with credibility) will acknowledge that we live in a mixed economy. Please, Mr. Molitor, name the time and place where Free Market Capitalism has ever existed.

There is no mystery about me; I am a Great Society Democrat. Bill Clinton is to the Right of that by some distance. LBJ, and and FDR were not wobblies, and they were not socialists.

Let’s get back to the discussion about Gary Johnson. He is honest enough to say what he believes in and why. He may, from time to time, make an exaggerated argument (who doesn’t?), but he stays true to his first principles and makes an honest argument as to why he thinks the rest of us should follow his lead. No smoke (yes, I intended that pun) or mirrors required.

Again; facts please.

Michael J. Flynn

Michael L Hays08:35 May 27, 2011

Thomas Molitor, I have looked at both of your references. Both of them are plainly partisan accounts–i.e., interpretations–of the Clinton agenda and administration. It is obvious from these and similar references of yours in other comments that you regard anything in published form in accord with your views as support of your views. You thus provide a potential infinite series of tendentious documents which are no more supported by evidence and logic than your comments and columns. Yours is the kind of mentation that simply wants confirmation of convictions free of critical analysis and evaluation. I shall have a column appearing shortly which addresses precisely this kind of mindset. Its rigidity explains why you cannot–I say “cannot” advisedly–respond to criticisms expect by personal attack and a number of other tactics which evade reasonable and reasoning discussion.

Thinker08:30 May 27, 2011

To start with, about half the population is on the dole – 45 million are on food stamps alone.

Half the population is “on the dole”—REALLY?

308, 745, 538 /2 = 154,372,769 people getting some sort of welfare checks from the government? Were’s mine?

45 million /308745538 = 0.146 of Americans get Food Stamps. Given the highest sustained unemployment figures we have endured in decades, I’d say that doesn’t concern me much.

And neither does restraining oneself from hyperbole and exaggeration seem to concern Mr. Molitor. After all, when facts fail, one must find some way to get from Point A (“What I Want to Pretend the World to B”) to Point B (“The Way I Think the World Should Be”).

And by the way, Gary Johnson loved corporate welfare–just ask Wackenhut.

Thomas Molitor07:55 May 27, 2011

@Mick

Thomas DiLorenzo, Ph.D in economics (since you mentioned economics), said, in 1999, “The international socialist movement led by Bill Clinton is attempting to revive the disastrous policy of war socialism with which the current century began.

One world. One currency. One governance. Socialism plays out as a collectivist philosophy and its definition is not confined to economic policy, as Dr. Lorenzo points out.

Thomas Molitor07:38 May 27, 2011

Clinton, the Socialist, Link No. 2.

Mick22:01 May 26, 2011

My apologies for the previous posting. I intended to copy the link to: http://www.wnd.com/index.php?pageId=769

Michael J. Flynn
Trader in Facts/Owner of Fat Fingers

IcarusPhoenix20:39 May 26, 2011

Thank you, Mr. Molitor. By linking to World Net Daily, a site that was created specifically to promote birther conspiracy theories, you have proven beyond a shadow of a doubt that you are in no way a legitimate political commentator, and that my earlier assessment was correct; by continuing to publish your bizarre disjointed screeds, Heath is doing nothing but damaging this site’s credibility.

Thomas Molitor20:27 May 26, 2011

Clinton’s Socialist Manifesto, 1999.

IcarusPhoenix18:44 May 26, 2011

Mr. Molitor:

Did you just call President Clinton a “socialist”? You really do seem to make a habit of demonstrating your ignorance of basic political history, don’t you?

Thomas Molitor17:38 May 26, 2011

@GFA

Circa 1992

William Jefferson Clinton

No name recognition.

Socialist.

Serial philanderer.

GFA16:17 May 26, 2011

Could have said it all much more simply:

No name recognition.
Libertarian.
Wants pot decriminalized.

Thomas Molitor15:07 May 26, 2011

What about this scenario: Johnson is one of 10 Republican primary candidates standing on the stage for a debate or two this Fall, doesn’t poll or raise enough money to compete, drops out and trots back to NM and runs for Bingaman’s open slot? Senator Johnson. Does anyone like the sound of that? So far, on the R side he’s got Heather Wilson and John Sanchez to best, and then go head-to-head with D Heinrich. Anyone care to place a bet on this scenario?

DavidOlson33314:22 May 26, 2011

Yah! What Ched said!

ched macquigg13:21 May 26, 2011

It is a shame that the apparent consensus is; if you are not a sure fire winner, you shouldn’t be running at all.

Johnson will add to a civil discourse on a number of issues that “front runners” will avoid in order to stay front runners. I salute everyone who is willing to put up with the crap candidates have to put up with, in order to put divergent paths on the table, rather than doing nothing (except bitching) while two parties run the show.

Hemingway11:51 May 26, 2011

At least Gary Johnson is good for a laugh. Here is former Governor Johnson on the Colbert Report:

http://www.colbertnation.com/the-colbert-report-videos/309253/may-10-2010/gary-johnson

He is what is known as a “one trick pony” – all he talks about is smoking pot!

qofdisks10:46 May 26, 2011

You left out Liberals. Yes, Liberals will vote for Gary Johnson. What’s more, the “Tea Party” is actually Republican and not separate from being Republican. Gary Johnson resonates more with Liberal ideals than the so called Tea Party.
“There’s the Tea Party. The Libertarian Party. Independents. An anti-government sentiment on broil, even a few genuinely free-market Republicans out there – all constituencies that might vote for Gary Johnson.”

medeforest09:41 May 26, 2011

The author makes some great points and if you latch on to “The NSA, the CIA, the FBI, the DOD, and the rest of them are now an empire within an empire.” we might as well just quit caring.

I, for one, can’t quit caring. I want to live in the best country on the planet and that means we have to care and strive for improvement.

Governor Gary Johnson is unique as a candidate whose fiscal conservativism moved NM from a budget in the red to the black, while cutting taxes and not firing any state employees. His crossover appeal got him elected in a state that is 2:1 Democrats, TWICE!

I am OK with Gov. Johnson’s very long odds. I’m glad the author wishes the campaign well, I’m excited for the possibilities of the future.

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