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King leads Chandler in two polls

Gary King

Attorney General Gary King has big leads over challenger Matt Chandler in two newly released polls of the race.

I already mentioned the first poll in an article published Monday – an internal poll released by the King campaign that had King, the Democrat, leading the Republican Chandler by 19 percentage points. Today, the Albuquerque Journal released an independent poll that had King leading by 15 percentage points.

The poll released by King’s campaign had him leading with the support of 47 percent of likely voters to Chandler’s 28, with 25 percent of those surveyed undecided. The survey of 600 likely voters was conducted Aug. 2-4 and has a margin of error of plus or minus 4 percentage points.

The Journal poll had King leading 48 percent to 33 percent with 19 percent undecided. The survey of 942 likely voters, conducted by Research and Polling Inc. from Aug. 23-27, has a margin of error of plus or minus 3 percentage points.

Matt Chandler

Some highlights from King’s poll, which was released to NMPolitics.net:

“King’s support is not only intense, it is broad-based. King posts an overwhelming 30-point lead among independent voters, the critical subgroup that will determine the outcome of this election. King wins independent voters, 47% to 17%.

“Where King translates his advantage in name identification into votes, Chandler faces an uphill battle in just getting recognized. Roughly two-thirds of voters (65%) are familiar with Gary King.

“Just 17% of voters statewide can say the same for Chandler. This means that before Chandler can make his case against King, he will first have to spend precious resources defining himself.”

And highlights from the Journal poll:


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“The poll showed King with the support of 71 percent of the Democrats polled and Chandler with the support of 71 percent of the Republicans polled.

“King also racked up support from 16 percent of the Republicans, while Chandler had 10 percent of Democrats.

“…Among independent voters polled, King had 40 percent and Chandler 27 percent — with 31 percent undecided.

“The candidates were neck-and-neck among Anglo voters: each had 41 percent.

“But there was a big gap between the candidates in the category of Hispanic voters: King had 62 percent of Hispanics polled, and Chandler 22 percent.”

The Journal poll also had King leading in the north-central region of the state and Chandler leading on the east side of the state.

The bottom line, from Journal pollster Brian Sanderoff:

“The challenger hasn’t spent much yet. He’s not well-known around the state. There’s little reason to expect him to perform well among Democrats at this time. Gary’s been around the block, he’s from a prominent political family.”

Updated, 11:45 a.m.

Chandler had this to say about the Journal poll:

“As a career politician with a well-known family name, King has been campaigning for the last three decades. But this election isn’t about family names; it is about fresh direction and the future of our state. And today’s findings reveal that with all of King’s advantages, he still fails to secure the support of the majority of New Mexicans.

“This is largely in part because for far too long, my opponent has turned a blind eye to who-you-know politics and has failed to make good on the promise he made four years ago to aggressively root out corruption. New Mexicans realize that for all of his years in office, this has yet to happen – and isn’t likely to happen during the last two months of King’s administration.

“As I travel across the state, sharing my vision of change and my unwavering commitment to ridding this state of corruption, our message continues to resonate with New Mexicans of all walks of life. With their support, I am confident that on Nov. 2 our state will elect a new attorney general.”

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7 comments so far. Scroll down to submit your own comment.

  1. BTW, ajedrez, which case did you watch Chandler prosecute? Because, you obvously didn’t see waht the jury saw since Chandler has convicted EVERY defendant he has ever prosecuted. He has convicted over 30 murders in his career. Was it one of those cases?

    Was it the men that burned the two elderly people in the trunk of their car? Nope, he convicted them and sentenced them to over 250 combined years in jail.

    Was it the man that broke in a house in Quay County and sexually assaulted a girl and put her back in her bed before running out the front door? Nope, he convicted him and sentenced him to 133 years.

    Was it the lady that embezzeled$143,000 from the Eastern Plains Council of Governent? Nope, she was convicted also and senteced to 10 years in prison.

    So tell us, which case did you watch the District Attorney prosecute? And at the same time, go ahead and tell us what case you watched Gary King prosecute… love to hear about that one.

  2. I’ve seen Chandler’s record as a prosecutor. If I was a criminal I would want King as my prosecutor. I would never be held accountable for what ever I did!

  3. I’ve seen Chandler in court, I would rather have King.

  4. There was a time during the cold war, when NATO anti-tankers, facing the largest tank army in history, were told they would enjoy a “target rich” environment on the battlefields in Europe. How’s that for a euphemism?

    Those who would fight public corruption, NMAG Gary King for example, have enjoyed a target rich environment in Santa Fe for the last eight years, and haven’t scored more than a very occasional hit.

    It is clear that King is unable or unwilling to engage the enemy. It is just as clear, it is time to give some else a chance to clean up the mess.

    For the life of me, I cannot understand why Gary King enjoys any support at all.

  5. A King insider told me a month ago that King was up 30 points on Chandler. About a week ago, Phil Sisneros ( AG employee/King campaign manager) said that King was up 20 points according to their inside poll. Now the ABQ Journal is showing that King has a 15 point lead on Chandler. Looks like it is going to be a showdown on Nov. 2nd!

  6. I have seen polls come out wrong in elections many times. King is a do nothing Attorney General and should be taken out of office. He has sandbagged on prosecuting the Progressive Dems and has too much garbage in his bag.

    I wouldn’t count Matt Chandler out just yet. The outcome will come where the rubber meets the road and that is at the polls.

  7. The Secretary of State, the Governor, the delays for Smiley G. and Rebecca Vigil-Giron, the list goes on and on and on. King is tied to everyone of them as giving them a pass.

    King received over $54,000 dollars to his last campaign from Big Bill Richardson – and King didn’t do anything about the scandals in the gov’s office. Hmmm. Pay to Protect? Now there’s a new one.

    As a law enforcement officer and supporter of Chandler, I like the momentum Chandler is gathering and believe this race won’t be called until the late hours of election night.

    Thanks for keeping us updated on this race, may the toughest on corruption win.

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