Domenici leads in new poll, but many are undecided

Comments

  1. politicalguy says:

    With 42% undecided in this poll, it’s hard for anyone to take this seriously, and since this is a General Election poll, we need to be very wary this far in advance.

    But if one did, it would be readily apparent that Dominici, Jr., with only one month into his campaign, is running purely on his father’s name recognition.

    That’s not enough to win the nomination, especially considering his terrible performance during his announcement speech, his absolute failure to attract delegates during the pre-primary conventions, and his admission of drug use, which may or may not cause long-term damage, but isn’t a bonus.

    Susana is purely a regional candidate and has no support outside of Dona Ana County and pockets elsewhere. That’s not a winning campaign.

    But if we pretend to take this poll seriously, and discount the name confusion with Domenici, then Martinez and Arnold-Jones both are only 14 points down, and Weh is 18 points down. This is a wide-open race.

  2. new_direction_2010 says:

    Ramirez is right…and this was brought up by a caller from northern NM during her interview on Villanucci’s show…Susana needs to make more swings through the Rio Arriba, Taos, San Miguel, and Mora areas and not just to meet with the GOP faithful(the few that there are) but with disaffected dems as well. The anti-Richardson sentiment is real and palpable and she should seize any opportunity to make inroads with these voters. I know the primary’s still months away and that’s their main focus. However, she should already start casting as wide a net as possible to voters of all political persuasions.

  3. Ramirez says:

    Astute Observer has some great points. The Republican candidate needs to be ready on day one to take on the Denish- Dem machine. She is well funded, and isn’t afraid to spend.

    Susana has the moxie to run a strong campaign, and stand out as a true “outsider” that can give us the results we crave and need in Santa Fe. The fact that she’s from Las Cruces helps her in this position greatly; yet hurts her outside her jurisdiction.

    She needs to spend more time in Northern New Mexico, because I know that many Democrats and independents would like what she has to offer.

  4. Astute Observer says:

    Some good points here …. I hate to use his name on Heath’s site, but Monahan this morning use the ‘… all hat and no cattle …’ to describe Domenici. I have a less charitible description. He has name – and that is it. He has improved a bit since his announcement, but not much – still sounds like Kermit, stumbles around the issues and plays heavily on daddy’s name. We deserve better. Roosevelts take is good – there are three candidates who will make it out of the convention – Arnold-Jones, Martinez and Wey. Wey likes to use the ‘mile wide and one-inch deep’ descriptor – perhaps because he knows it so well. While the skill sets to run a business and to become a reserve Marine colonel are good assets, they aren’t enough to be governor of NM and we do not need yet another self-serving bully in the round house. The race belongs to the women. that said – there is only one of them with the deepth and breadth of experience, who has battled in government wars for years, espoused solutions and not just rhetoric on a broad variety of issues, with successes to her name, who can can immediately head up the fire brigade to battle the NM structural fire beginning at one minute after midnight on January 1st 2011. We all need to decide just who that woman is … it is obvious to me.

  5. jeffnm says:

    For Domenici to only be at 29% against relatively unknown candidates — before the cocaine story — is a pretty weak showing.

    I agree with the analysis of RooseveltRepublican across the board.

    Domenici must do well at the state’s pre-primary convention in order to be viable. His dad has been making a lot of personal calls to delegates and even showed up at the Bernalillo County convention to campaign on his behalf. There is no way for him to credibly spin a loss at the convention as being anything other than a complete rejection by those who know him best.

  6. Hemingway says:

    An interesting strategy for Republicans would have Mr. Domenici run for Lt. Governor, and he would throw his support to someone like the experienced Heather Wilson. Mr. Domenici if nominated for governor would be a disaster for GOP and an easy win for Democrats———- No Massachusetts in New Mexico.

  7. rooseveltrepublican says:

    What this story doesn’t take into account is the Pre-Primary conventions. You have to get through that before you start looking at “Jose 6-pack”. Based on those performances of the statewide competitive primaries, here at the way things are shaking out.

    In the Governor’s race: Susana Martinez, Janice Arnold-Jones and Allen Weh are performing the best. Turner seems to be a lot of people’s second choice, but very few people’s first choice. Domenici got in too late to get things organized and his only hope is to thwart history and run regardless of performance at the convention. We’ve never had a candidate not get the 20%, file extra petitions and win the primary. Domenici may have the name ID to accomplish this, but we’ll have to see how the media plays him getting trounced at the state convention. Domenici’s campaign looks a lot like Rudy Giualiani’s 2008 Presidential campaign. All sizzle, no steak.

    In the other competitive races, which haven’t been written about much here.

    The Lt. Governor race is coming along like this: Kent Cravens, Brian Moore, and a surging John Sanchez. John Sanchez is making progress, but may not have enough time to overcome Moore or Cravens. Cravens is leading going into the state convention, but Moore is strong too. It depends what the surging Sanchez does in rural NM.

    In the Commissioner of Public Lands race, Bob Cornelius is still the man to beat. Matthew Rush is doing well, but James Jackson is hurting Rush in parts of rural NM. While Cornelius is strongest in Congressional District 1, Rush and Jackson playing well in in CD 2, and are splitting delegations with Cornelius. Spiro V. is not making much of an impression because he got in late and is the most liberal of the four. That doesn’t play anywhere in a NM GOP Primary.

  8. Hemingway says:

    Domenici —————– All name – no substance!!!!!!!!!!!!

  9. Ramirez says:

    This is scary if people are seriously thinking that Domenici can beat Denish. Here we have another example of what happened in the Senate race two years go; sheer arrogance beating common sense.

    I will work hard to help Susana win.